Friday's Result :
4.15 Thirsk : Courier @ 11/4 BOG 2nd at 2/1 (Raced wide, prominent, ridden to chase winner over 1f out, every chance inside final furlong, not quicken towards finish)
Saturday's pick goes in the...
Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.
Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Bastille Day at 9/2 BOG
This 4yr old gelding is really thriving/progressing at the moment, winning four of his last seven starts and unbeaten in his last three. He has 4 wins and 2 places from 9 efforts over 8/8.5 furlongs, he's 3 from 6 in handicap company, 4 from 8 when priced at 6/1 and shorter and 3 from 5 after a break of 11 to 20 days : all of which are at play today.
In addition to that, his trainer David Elsworth is 26/189 (13.8% SR) for 83.7pts (+44.3% ROI) profit on the July course since 2009, of which the following are of relevant interest today...
- those with less than 25 career runs are 24/169 (14.2%) for 89.5pts (+52.9%)
- handicappers are 15/100 (15%) for 38.3pts (+38.3%)
- those last seen 6 to 20 days ago are 15/54 (17.9%) for 47.1pts (+56.1%)
- in fields of 8-10 runners : 11/57 (19.3%) for 63.3pts (+111.1%)
- 4/5 yr olds are 6/27 (22.2%) for 32pts (+118.5%)
- and those running at Class 3 are 5/25 (20%) for 4.5pts (+18%)
...and so, the call is a 1pt win bet on Bastille Day at 9/2 BOG which was pretty universally available at 1.40am (I know! Don't ask!), but to see what your preferred bookie is offering...
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REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS