Stat of the Day, 23rd July 2016

Friday's Result :

4.15 Thirsk : Courier @ 11/4 BOG 2nd at 2/1 (Raced wide, prominent, ridden to chase winner over 1f out, every chance inside final furlong, not quicken towards finish)

Saturday's pick goes in the...

4.50 Newmarket :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Bastille Day at 9/2 BOG

Why?

This 4yr old gelding is really thriving/progressing at the moment, winning four of his last seven starts and unbeaten in his last three. He has 4 wins and 2 places from 9 efforts over 8/8.5 furlongs, he's 3 from 6 in handicap company, 4 from 8 when priced at 6/1 and shorter and 3 from 5 after a break of 11 to 20 days : all of which are at play today.

In addition to that, his trainer David Elsworth is 26/189 (13.8% SR) for 83.7pts (+44.3% ROI) profit on the July course since 2009, of which the following are of relevant interest today...

  • those with less than 25 career runs are 24/169 (14.2%) for 89.5pts (+52.9%)
  • handicappers are 15/100 (15%) for 38.3pts (+38.3%)
  • those last seen 6 to 20 days ago are 15/54 (17.9%) for 47.1pts (+56.1%)
  • in fields of 8-10 runners : 11/57 (19.3%) for 63.3pts (+111.1%)
  • 4/5 yr olds are 6/27 (22.2%) for 32pts (+118.5%)
  • and those running at Class 3 are 5/25 (20%) for 4.5pts (+18%)

...and so, the call is a 1pt win bet on Bastille Day at 9/2 BOG which was pretty universally available at 1.40am (I know! Don't ask!), but to see what your preferred bookie is offering...

...click here for the betting on the 4.50 Newmarket

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard...

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