Stat of the Day, 23rd February 2017

Wednesday's Result :

7.15 Kempton : Steelriver @ 4/1 BOG 5th at 3/1 Awkwardly away, behind, headway over 1f out, ridden and ran on inside final furlong, not reach leaders

Thursday's pick goes in the...

8.00 Wolverhampton

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Amazement 3/1 BOG

Why?

This 4 yr old gelding has 2 wins and 2 places from his last 6 outings and has already won over 9f (9.5f today), has won under Luke Morris, has won at Class 4, has won on Tapeta at Newcastle and was a runner-up on his only previous visit here.

His trainer, James Tate, has done well in recent times with his A/W handicappers with a 21/86 (24.4% SR) for 30.65pts (+35.6% ROI) record since the start of 2016. Of those 86 A/W 'cappers...

  • those racing over 6f to 12f are 21/81 (25.9%) for 35.65pts (+44%)
  • 3/4 yr olds are 19/69 (27.5%) for 37.3pts (+54.1%)
  • those ridden by Luke Morris are 11/47 (23.4%) for 4.8pts (+10.2%)
  • at Class 4 : 9/44 (20.5%) for 30.1pts (+68.3%)
  • on Tapeta : 9/34 (26.5%) for 16.8pts (+49.5%)
  • and here at Wolverhampton : 6/24 (25%) for 12.43pts (+51.8%)

AND...when Luke Morris rode 3/4 yr olds over 6-12 furlongs = 11/36 (30.6% SR) for 15.8pts (+43.8% ROI), from which...

  • Class 4 = 4/17 (23.5%) for 14pts (+82.1%)
  • on Tapeta : 6/14 (42.9%) for 19.1pts (+136.6%)
  • at Wolverhampton : 4/9 (44.4%) for 13.6pts (+150.9%)

Amazement is by Lope de Vega, whose offspring are 45/277 (16.25% SR) for 50.2pts (+18.1% ROI) since the start of 2015, including...

  • over 7f to 11f : 37/225 (16.4%) for 66.9pts (+29.7%)
  • males are 34/207 (16.4%) for 40.6pts (+19.6%)
  • at odds of 5/2 to 8/1 : 36/149 (24.2%) for 84.2pts (+56.5%)
  • on the A/W : 12/61 (19.7%) for 30.1pts (+49.4%)
  • at Class 4 : 10/53 (18.9%) for 21.5pts (+40.6%)
  • on Tapeta : 6/21 (28.6%) for 37pts (+176.1%)
  • at Wolverhampton : 3/15 (20%) for 5.4pts (+36%)

AND...males priced at 5/2 to 8/1 over trips of 7 to 11 furlongs are 24/90 (26.7% SR) for 73.8pts (+82% ROI), with...

  • Class 4 runners winning 6 of 25 (24%) for 12.95pts (+51.8%)
  • on the A/W : 6/23 (26.1%) for 16.1pts (+70%)
  • on Tapeta : 5/10 (50%) for 19.94pts (+199.4%)
  • and at Wolverhampton 3/7 : 42.9%) for 13.4pts (+191.4%)

...giving us...a 1pt win bet on Amazement @ 3/1 BOG which was available with half a dozen or so firms at 5.30pm on Wednesday, but DO take the 10/3 BOG on offer with Bet365 if you can! To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 8.00 Wolverhampton

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

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