Stat of the Day, 22nd September 2012

Stat of the Day 22/09

Stat of the Day 22/09

Stat of the Day, 22nd September 2012

It was one of those special days for SotD yesterday as our advised bet Emkanaat came home as a 7/1 winner, after we'd backed it E/W at 20/1. There was a 10p Rule 4 deduction from my bet, so my 1pt stake actually returned 11.8pts, so still better than 1pt win at SP!

Our day was rounded off nicely when I discovered Ingleby Angel (mentioned at 3/1) won at 15/8 and that Afraah (mentioned at 2/1) won at 7/4. I know some of you backed the three in a trixie and I know some of you did the doubles, so well done to you for sticking your necks out. I wish I could tell you about the 250/1 treble I had, but I didn't have it.  Wishful thinking and hindsight are wonderful things.

Yet for all that success, we have to go again today and it's not looking easy! There are no outstanding stats on offer today, the top trainers at the tracks today are all running 5 or 6 horses and there's no apparent plot/plan to them from our point of view, so it's my turn to hit Matt's randomiser button.

So, we're off to North Yorkshire for a tea time Class 6 Handicap over 7 furlongs. The going is set to be good to firm, as 14 runners contest a competitive-looking...

5.25 Catterick

Tracy Waggott's yard has had a bit of a lean time recently, but her string are showing signs of a return to form and she had a winner at Pontefract on Thursday to confirm this. She's actually got three runners at Catterick today: Miss Bossy Boots (33/1) seems to be making up the numbers in the 4.15 race and although Thrust Control looks to have a decent chance at 9/2 in the 5.55 race, our selection today is No Quarter.

No Quarter actually won this same race last year and as a result has to enter calculations. He is currently 2lb lower than when winning this event last year and his recent performances have been decent: he hasn't been out of the top four in any of his last six starts. He had a poor draw last year but still got up late to take the race, the draw seems to have been much kinder to him this time around and he's well weighted to strike again.

It's a difficult race to call, but our selection should hopefully just have the edge. The tightness of the race is reflected in the market with just one point separating the first three in the betting. No Quarter is actually the outsider of those three and we might grab ourselves some value with a 1pt win bet at the 5/1 BOG generally available, but you can always...

Click here for the latest odds for the 5.25 Catterick.

8 thoughts on “Stat of the Day, 22nd September 2012

  1. Stuart

    Well, any horse with the name of a Led Zeppelin track HAS to be good!

    I’ve gone 1 point E/W on No Quarter, but also have 1/8 of a point E/W on each of the doubles and the treble, so 3 points staked in total. I’ve put the champagne in the fridge. All I have to do now is hold my breath for a few hours! :o)

    Good luck today, everyone … just remember that we can’t win ’em all!

    (By the way, anyone heard from Peter lately?)

    1. Chris Worrall Post author

      Best of luck there Stuart.
      As for Peter, I think he went back to “a more successful website who don’t pick winners that offer no value” 😀
      I just hope for his sake, he didn’t lay yesterday’s SotD!

  2. Stuart

    That nice Mr Hill has given me back a whole unit more than I gave him this morning, so I’m more than happy. Thanks again Chris.

    I’ve also been listening to Led Zepp for much of the afternoon for the first time in a while, so thanks too for the memory jog!

    1. Matt Bisogno Post author

      It goes down on our record as a loser, Bob. Chris did say to me that if it’d been that price in the morning, he’d have nominated each way. But hindsight is a wonderful thing!

      Matt

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