Stat of the Day, 21st April 2018

Friday's Runner was...

3.15 Ayr : Darius des Bois @ 3/1 BOG 2nd at 2/1 (Tracked leaders, went 2nd after 4 out, led narrowly next, mistake last, ridden and headed flat, kept on same pace)

We now continue with Saturday's...

2.45 Bangor :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.


Red Devil Star @ 11/4 BOG

A 10-runner, Class 4,  2m1.5f Handicap Chase (5yo+) on good to soft ground worth £5133 to the winner...


A winner 10 days ago on heavy ground over 2m2f at Market Rasen romping home by some 16 lengths and is of immediate interest, because...

...2013-18 / UK Class 3&4 handicap chases / 1m7f to 3m3.5f / ground has the word "good" in the title / males / odds of 10-1 and shorter / same class or up by 1 or grades from LTO / won hcp chase LTO 4-20 days ago = 199/721 (27.6% SR) for 146.4pts (+20.3% ROI), including...

  •  Class 4 : 128/432 (29.6%) for 71.9pts (+16.6%)
  • 6-15 days since last run : 132/429 (30.8%) for 123pts (+28.7%)
  • good to soft : 68/245 (27.8%) for 58.2pts (+23.8%)
  • April : 45/105 (42.9%) for 71.6pts (+68.2%)
  • won by 15-30 lengths LTO : 22/61 (36.1%) for 26.7pts (+43.7%)
  • at Bangor : 7/20 (35%) for 6.7pts (+33.5%) us...a 1pt win bet on Red Devil Star @ 11/4 BOG which was widely available at 6.45pm on Friday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply... here for the betting on the 2.45 Bangor

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

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