Stat of the Day, 20th October 2015

Stat of the Day, 20th October 2015

Monday's Result :

4.00 Plumpton : Gone Too Far @ 11/4 BOG : 7th at 100/30 fav (Held up in touch, reminder after 8th, mistake 10th, lost place 3 out, well beaten before next, beaten by almost 37 lengths)

Tuesday's selection runs in the...

7.10 Wolverhampton :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Musical Taste at 11/2 BOG

Why?

  1.  Trainer Philip McBride's record in A/W handicaps since the start of 2008 stands at 36 winners from 262 (13.7% SR) for profits of 107.6pts (+41.1% ROI) with his female runners winning 20 of 140 (14.3% SR) for 66.6pts (+47.6% ROI).
    .
    In addition to that, his runners here at Wolverhampton are 15/94 (16% SR) for 70.8pts (+75.3% ROI), whilst his 2 yr olds are 7/36 (19.4% SR) for 26.1pts (+72.6% ROI).
    .
  2.   Horses aged 2 to 7 yrs old running in A/W handicaps of 5 to 13 runners, just 4 or 5 days after a defeat by 1 to 3 lengths are 69/265 (26% SR) for 159.7pts (+60.3% ROI) when sent off in the broad 13/8 to 10/1 odds range and running at a trip equal to or no more than a half-furlong different (up or down) to last time out.
    .
  3.  Philip McBride's runners who run again 4 to 15 days after a top 4 finish last time out are 31.118 (26.3% SR) for 63.7pts (+54% ROI) since the start of 2010, with his Wolverhampton runners contributing 9 wins from 25 (36% SR) and 24pts profit at an ROI of 96%.
    .
  4.  Musical Taste is Philip's only runner at this track today and since 2008, his solo runners are 79/557 (14.2% SR) for 176.6pts (+31.7% ROI), of which his female runners are 49/309 (15.9% SR) for 151.3pts (+49% ROI) and his 2 yr olds are 29/151 (19.2% SR) for 100.1pts (+66.3% ROI).
    .
    These lone travellers are also 16/85 (18.8% SR) for 61.7pts (+72.5% ROI) here at Wolverhampton and their record in nurseries is currently 13 wins from 46 (28.3% SR) for 59.5pts  (+129.4% ROI).
    .
  5.  Jockey Danny Tudhope has won 19 of 72 races (26.4% SR) for 31.9pts (+44.2% ROI), when his mount has been sent off in the 10/1 to 13/2 odds range in a Wolverhampton A/W handicap.

And my recommended bet?

1pt win on Musical Taste at 11/2 BOG with 10Bet. You can also get this price at Bet365, but 10Bet offer refunds on a defeat by a head or less, but please...

...click here for the betting on the 7.10 Wolverhampton

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day,

just click here for more details.

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard.

10 thoughts on “Stat of the Day, 20th October 2015

  1. Everyone calls me Paul

    Is it just me who has to remind himself that a horse getting backed into 5/2 from 11/2 is still odds against? Let’s hope the good selection becomes a good win.
    Paul

  2. jethro

    Ooooh! The early BOG bookies won’t half be smarting from that result!!! Great work Chris…
    As far as the losing streak goes – the way I look at it, if it weren’t for the losers, backing a winner wouldn’t be anywhere near as enjoyable! Cheers…

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