Stat of the Day, 20th June 2017

Monday's Result :

8.00 Nottingham : Indigo Princess @ 5/2 BOG 9th at 9/2 Raced wide in touch, ridden 3f out, weakened over 1f out

Tuesday's pick goes in the...

4.05 Stratford...

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Our Three Sons @ 4/1 BOG

Why?

This 6 yr old gelding comes here looking for a hat-trick of wins under today's jockey, having won here over course and distance two starts ago, before a 5 length success at Kempton LTO 50 days ago.

This one cropped up on a couple of my micros today, so here's (briefly!) why I'm backing him...

Since the start of 2012, male hcp hurdlers who won LTO by 4 lengths or more 3 to 60 days ago are 369/1454 (25.4% SR) for 223.5pts (+15.4% ROI) backed blindly, from which...

  • Class 4 = 149/476 (31.3%) for 92pts (+19.3%)
  • 6 yr olds = 97/381 (25.5%) for 87pts (+22.8%)
  • at Stratford = 11/30 (36.7%) for 36.8pts (+122.6%)

And on top of the above, handicap hurdlers who won LTO and are now returning to the scene of a previous course and distance win are 284/1596 (17.8% SR) for 200.6pts (+12.6% ROI) at odds of 11/4 and longer since 2008, with 6 yr olds winning 76 of 399 (19.1%) for 82.1pts (+20.6%)

...for...a 1pt win bet on Our Three Sons4/1 BOG which was available from both Bet365 & Ladbrokes at 5.40pm on Monday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 4.05 Stratford

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

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