Stat of the Day, 1st February 2017

Tuesday's Result :

2.45 Wolverhampton : Oor Jock @ 4/1 BOG 2nd at 2/1 Held up towards rear, headway over 1f out, chased winner inside final furlong, kept on but held by 3 lengths.

Wednesday's pick goes in the...

7.00 Newcastle :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Palenville @ 3/1 BOG

Why?

This 4 yr old filly has been knocking on the door of late, finishing 2323 in her last four outings and has already won over this trip at a higher grade than today.

She was considered good enough as a 2yr old to contest the Group 3 Albany Stakes at Ascot in June 2015, before taking a lengthy layoff and a subsequent switch of yards to current handler Simon Crisford, who should be one of your go-to trainers on the All-Weather.

Fairly new to the training game. backing all of his A/W runners to date gives you 38 winners from 128 (20.9% SR) for level stakes profits of some 33.1pts at an ROI of 24.7% and these are excellent numbers from just blindly following a trainer. In fact, I could well draw stumps and call it a night having already justified the selection.

However, this is SotD and we always look for a more refined angle to our main stat, let's look at Simon's 128 A/W runners, shall we? And if we do, we quickly establish that...

  • handicappers are 16/65 (24.6%) for 32.pts (+50.6%)
  • those placed 3rd to 6th LTO are 15/43 (34.9%) for 51.4pts (+119.5%)
  • on Tapeta : 12/40 (30%) for 13.3pts (+33.2%)
  • over trips of 6f and shorter : 11/30 (36.7%) for 29.4pts (+98%)
  • and at today's 6f trip : 8/25 (32%) for 25.2pts (+100.8%)
  • whilst 4 yr olds are 5/22 (22.7%) for 11.6pts (+52.6%)

All of the above apply today and give more levels of reasoning to the pick...

...leaving us with...a 1pt win bet on Palenville @ 3/1 BOG which was available with Bet365 and BetVictor at 9.00pm on Tuesday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 7.00 Newcastle

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

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