Stat of the Day, 19th October 2017

Wednesday's Result :

5.35 Lingfield : So Celebre @ 10/3 BOG 2nd at 5/1 : Report to follow...

Thursday's selection goes in the...

4.30 Uttoxeter :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Classic Jewel @ 4/1 BOG

Why?

A Class 5, 4yo+ handicap chase over 3m on Good ground...

...featuring a 10 yr old gelding making his second appearance of the year since returning from a 318-day layoff. His return from the absence saw him win here over course and distance and although he was unable to follow that up 34 days later/58 days ago.

He was third on that follow up run over 2 furlongs further and despite making a mess of the last when possibly a little tired, he was still only beaten by 3.25 lengths, marking that down as a decent effort behind a winner who has since gone in again.

He's trained by Evan Williams, whose NH Class 4/5 handicappers having just their their 2nd run within a 90-day period are 59/262 (22.5% SR) for 184.6pts (+70.5% ROI) since the start of 2009, including of interest/relevance here today...

  • chasers at 35/140 (25%) for 93.9pts (+67.1%)
  • over trips of 2m7f to 3m1.5f : 13/54 (24.1%) for 91.1pts (+168.8%)
  • those placed 3rd LTO are 11/44 (25%) for 40.4pts (+91.9%)
  • in October/November : 12/35 (34.3%) for 48.7pts (+139.3%)
  • and those beaten by just 2 to 5 lengths LTO are 8/16 (50%) for 20.95pts (+130.9%)

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Classic Jewel @ 4/1 BOG, which was widely available at 5.40pm on Wednesday. Those able to take 9/2 from Betfair should do so and to see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 4.30 Uttoxeter

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

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