Stat of the Day, 19th August 2017

Friday's Result :

5.30 Catterick - Sellingallthetime @ 9/2 BOG - 2nd at 5/1 : Held up mid-division, headway over 4f out to chase leaders, went 3rd over 2f out, kept on to chase winner inside final furlong, held towards finish...

Saturday's pick goes in the...

5.05 Newmarket :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Stone The Crows @ 3/1 BOG

Why?

An unexposed 3 yr old gelding with just 5 starts to his name and after finishing 4th on debut, has been ridden by today's jockey, 3lb claimer Kieran Shoemark, in all four subsequent runs, making the frame each time (1 win and 3 x 2nd). So they clearly get on, he 's in obvious good nick and now drops down in class to run here for trainer Roger Charlton, who..

...has an excellent record in Flat handicaps over 1m1f to 1m4f over the past three seasons, clocking up 29 winners from 105 (27.6% SR) runners for level stakes profits of 47.1pts or £4.48 profit from every £10 wagered. With today's contest in mind, those 105 runners can be further categorised as follows..

  • 3 yr olds are 27/89 (30.3%) for 55.2pts (+62.1%)
  • those with just 3 to 7 previous career runs (ie some experience but not exposed) are 25/81 (30.9%) for 57.2pts (+70.6%)
  • those finishing 2nd, 3rd or 4th LTO are 16/44 (36.4%) for 37.9pts (+86%)
  • Class 4 runners are 11/34 (32.4%) for 47.9pts (+140.9%)
  • on Good ground, they are 11/31 (35.5%) for 46.2pts (+149.1%)
  • those ridden by Kieran Shoemark are 9/25 (36%) for 5.9pts (+23.6%)
  • and those dropping down a class are 6/16 (37.5%) for 10.4pts (+65.2%)

...pointing to... a 1pt win bet on Stone The Crows @ 3/1 BOG which was available with Bet365 , Betfred, Sunbets and Totesport at 6.05pm on Friday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 5.05 Newmarket

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

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