Stat of the Day, 18th December 2017

Saturday's Result :

3.20 Doncaster : Virgilio @ 5/1 BOG PU at 5/1  Held up towards rear, pushed along before 11th, soon weakened, tailed off and pulled up before 12th

Next up is Monday's...

4.40 Wolverhampton :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Carp Kid @ 5/1 BOG

A Class 5, 2yo Claimer over 9.5f on Tapeta worth £3,396 to the winner...

And a 2yr old Colt trained by Jamie Osborne, whose Class 4/5 runners here at Wolverhampton are 46/244 (18.9% SR) for 84.4pts (+34.6% ROI) profit, in respect of today's contest, those 244 runners are...

  • at Class 5 : 38/198 (19.2%) for 45.4pts (+22.9%)
  • 6-30 days since last run : 38/157 (24.2%) for 103.8pts (+66.1%)
  • unplaced LTO : 28/123 (22.8%) for 124.8pts (+101.5%)
  • at odds of 7/2 to 11/1 : 27/102 (26.5%) for 104.5pts (+102.5%)
  • 2 yr olds are 14/83 (16.9%) for 25.1pts (+30.2%)
  • this year : 11/47 (23.4%) for 22.4pts (+47.6%)
  • over this 9.5f trip : 10/31 (32.3%) for 11pts (+35.5%)
  • in Claimers : 6/20 (30%$) for 4.4pts (+22%)
  • and those ridden by Dougie Costello are 3/18 (16.7%) for 10.2pts (+56.8%)

He's also by the sire Lope de Vega, whose offspring are 41/186 (22% SR) for 193.8pts (+104.2%) on the All-Weather over the last two years, including...

  • males @ 35/158 (22.2%) for 143.6pts (+90.9%)
  • on Tapeta : 21/66 (31.8%) for 63.3pts (+96%)
  • at Class 5 : 16/61 (26.2%) for 31.6pts (+51.8%)
  • and 2 yr olds are 8/47 (17%) for 21.9pts (+46.6%)

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Carp Kid @ 5/1 BOG which was offered by Bet365 & SkyBet at 5.30pm on Sunday with the same (but non-BOG) also available from Betfred/Totesport. And to see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 4.40 Wolverhampton

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

10 thoughts on “Stat of the Day, 18th December 2017

    1. Chris Worrall Post author

      The answer to both is sadly not.

      But the easiest way of keeping up is posted every single day on the SotD piece…

      “Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

      Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.”

Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.