Stat of the Day, 17th November 2016

Wednesday's Result :

6.40 Kempton : Sovereign Debt @ 100/30 BOG 3rd at 11/10 (Tracked leader until ridden over 2f out, stayed on same pace from over 1f out)

Thursday's pick goes in the...

4.40 Chelmsford

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.


Geraldine @ 9/2 BOG


The only previous winner in this this line-up after scoring over this trip at Kempton last time out three weeks ago. That was her first run under Martin Harley who retains the ride today for Stuart Williams, whose A/W record is the base for today's selection.

Stuart's record in A/W handicaps since the start of 2013 stands at 81 winners from 438 (18.5% SR) for 95.7pts (+21.9% ROI), with the the following of interest/relevance to this contest...

  • those racing 11-60 dslr are 60/313 (19.2%) for 101.4pts (+32.4%)
  • those priced at 11/10 to 8/1 are 72/306 (23.5%) for 107.5pts (+35.1%)
  • at Class 6 : 30/146 (20.6%) for 54.7pts (+37.5%)
  • here at Chelmsford : 21/114 (18.4%) for 39.1pts (+34.3%)
  • and over 6f : 19/102 (18.6%) for 38.1pts (+37.3%)

And a simple Stuart Williams micro for Chelmsford? OK, those priced at 11/10 to 8/1, 6 to 60 days after their last run are 18/71 (25.4% SR) for 49.3pts (+69.4% ROI) with 10 winners from 35 (28.6%) already this year producing 26.2pts profit at an ROI of 74.8%)

...but for now...a 1pt win bet on Geraldine at 9/2 BOG, a price offered at 6.25pm on Wednesday by market leader Bet365, but to see your preferred bookies' odds, simply... here for the betting on the 4.40 Chelmsford

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today's racecard

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