Stat of the Day, 17th June 2016

Thursday's Result :

7.50 Lingfield: Matidia @ 9/2 BOG 3rd at 7/1 (Led until over 8f out, tracked winner until 7f out, chased leading pair, ridden on inside over 1f out, one pace inside final furlong)

An early post from me as I escape the desk for what feels like the first time all week, so no Thursday result in yet. Friday we head to the...

5.35 Ascot:

Who?

Ebediyin at 5/1 BOG

Why?

Dermot Weld is a trainer in rude form. Not only did he win the Derby just 13 days ago, but he's actually won ten races in the past fortnight from 25 runners (40%). They were worth 28.77 points profit.

In the past five years at Ascot, he's saddled 18 runnners, seven of which have won (39%), for a profit of 28 points. Pretty similar.

Pat Smullen has ridden has ridden all of them, and takes the mount on both of Weld's pair at the Royal meeting on Friday. While Tanaza will probably not be quite good enough, her presence is worth noting, especially as she's a 20/1 chance. The more likely of the pair, however, is Ebediyin in the Queen's Vase.

Smullen's five year record at Ascot is also good - 10 winners from 59 rides, for +7.25 - and that combination of recent form and long-term track form, both individually and collectively is enough to get the Aga Khan's three year old son of Raven's Pass the nod on a very difficult day.

(I almost put up 25/1 Ingleby Angel (form 0000, but 66113111 at Redcar), such was the dearth of credible options).

But it's a one point win bet on Ebediyin at 5/1 BOG with totesport and betfred. Do make sure you...

...click here for the latest betting on the 5.35 Ascot

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1 thought on “Stat of the Day, 17th June 2016

  1. Everyone calls me Paul

    Cheers Matt. Mildly interesting that IA has been cut twice now, into 14s, at Fred. Even though Stan is just about the only other to have cut below 20s, I thought was worth a quarter point, win only, at 25/1.
    Paul

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