Stat of the Day, 17th January 2018

Tuesday's Result :

2.15 Ayr : Finaghy Ayr @ 5/2 BOG non-runner Meeting abandoned = waterlogged track....

Next up is Wednesday's...

1.00 Market Rasen :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

One of Us @ 7/2 BOG

A Class 4, 4yo+ Handicap Hurdle over 2m7f on Soft ground worth £5,198 to the winner...

Why?

A 6 yr old gelding who won LTO by 2 lengths over 3 miles at Ascot 25 days ago under today's jockey Lizzie Kelly.

Over the last 5 years, when Lizzie has ridden a Nick Williams trained 4 to 9 yr old make handicap hurdler on Good to Soft or softer ground over trips of 2m to 3m1f, she has been victorious on 20 of 76 occasions (26.3% SR) for 151.9pts profit at an ROI of 199.9% and these 76 runners include...

  • from September to February : 20/65 (30.8%) for 162.9pts (+250.7%)
  • on Soft ground : 11/37 (29.7%) for 68.9pts (+186.3%)
  • at Class 4 : 11/27 (40.7%) for 83.6pts (+309.5%)

AND...from September to February at Class 4 on Soft ground : 5/10 (50% SR) for 13.59pts (+135.9% ROI) with each of the last four all winning!

Plus in that same 5 year time frame in UK handicap hurdle contests on ground rated good or softer, horses who had won a Novice hurdle LTO 11 to 90 days earlier "doubled up" 160 times from 880 (18.2% SR) efforts, generating 154.1pts profit at an ROI of 17.5%, including...

  • on soft ground : 40/221 (18.1%) for 45.1pts (+20.4%)
  • in January : 16/72 (22.2%) for 14.5pts (+20.2%)
  • and here at Market Rasen : 13/53 (24.5%) for 43.7pts (+82.4%)

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on One of Us @ 7/2 BOG which was widely available at 5.50pm on Tuesday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 1.00 Market Rasen

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

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