Stat of the Day, 16th February 2016

Monday's Result :

3.10 Catterick: Askamore Darsi @ 5/2 BOG 3rd at 9/4 (Tracked leaders in 3rd, pushed along before 12th, soon weakened)

Tuesday's runner goes in the...

4.50 Southwell :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Kelly's Finest @ 8/1 BOG

Why?

Mick Appleby won this race last year and since the start of 2012, his sub-10/1 runners here at Southwell are 95 from 407 (23.3% SR) for level stakes profits of 36.9pts (+9.1% ROI), with handicappers winning 86 of 362 (23.8% SR) for 50.8pts at an ROI of 14%.

Liam Jones has ridden 9 winners from 17 of those original 407 runners and his 52.9% strike rate has manifested itself into profits of 34.7pts (+204.3% ROI) with a 9/16 record (56.25% SR) for 35.7pts (+223.3% ROI) in handicaps.

Another layer of statistical confidence is added by the record of Mick Appleby's handicappers dropping in class, with 64 winners from 461 (13.9% SR) generating profits of 68pts at an ROI of 14.8% since the start of 2011.

And today's play is...a 1pt win bet on Kelly's Finest at 8/1 BOG with either Bet365 or BetVictor (Ladbrokes also offer 8/1, but won't go BOG until the morning). To see the fuller picture...

...click here for the betting on the 4.50 Southwell

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard...

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