Stat of the Day, 15th December 2016

Wednesday's Result :

1.30 Newbury : Beware The Bear @ 3/1 BOG WON at 5/2 Chased leaders, went 2nd 4 out, clear last, idled run-in, always doing enough and more comfortable than 1 length would suggest..

Thursday's pick goes in the...

1.00 Exeter...

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Rocklander @ 9/2 BOG

Why?

This 7 yr old gelding comes here on a hat-trick after winning at Chepstow (good) on his handicap debut and follwing up with a win LTO on good to soft ground ground like today, over at Leicester 18 days ago.

This takes him to 2 from 2 in handicaps, both under today's jockey AP Heskin, who is now 20/88 (22.7% SR) for 77.6pts (+88.2% ROI) on Tom George's horses this year (and overall!).

The string is in good nick generally to be fair and the yard seems to do particularly well at the shorter NH trips, with 106 winners from 590 runners (18% SR) for 209.1pts (+35.4% ROI) profit at trips shorter than 2m4f since the start of 2012, and of those 590...

  • males are 96/498 (19.3%) for 203pts (+40.8%)
  • 5 to 8 yr olds are 93/447 (20.8%) for 272.4pts (+60.9%)
  • those who last ran 11-20 days ago are 22/88 (25%) for 63.96pts (+72.7%)
  • those ridden by AP Heskin are 11/44 (also 25%) for 68.5pts (+155.6%)
  • and here at Exeter : 7/26 (26.9%) for 29.9pts (+115%)

AND from all that...Males aged 5 to 8 yrs old are 84/363 (23.1% SR) for 261.9pts at an ROI of 72.1%, of which...

  • 11-20 dslr = 17/48 (35.4%) for 75.7pts (+157.7%)
  • AP Heskin = 10/30 (33.3%) for 18.6pts (+62%)
  • Exeter = 5/15 (33.3%) for 29pts (+193.5%)

...hence...a 1pt win bet on Rocklander at 9/2 BOG with either BetVictor or Ladbrokes who jointly led the way at 5.20pm on Wednesday with plenty of more than acceptable 4/1 available elsewhere. To see your preferred bookies' odds, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 1.00 Exeter

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

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