Friday's Result :
2.30 Lingfield : Speed Freak @ 7/2 BOG 2nd at 3/1 Tracked leader, pushed along 2f out, ridden to lead entering final furlong, soon joined, headed final strides
Saturday's pick goes in the...
Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.
Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Ericht @ 7/2 BOG
He comes here boasting excellent credentials for the task ahead, having won 3 of his 6 runs here at Kempton, as well having 6 wins on Good to Soft / Soft ground, 5 wins under Barry Geraghty, 5 wins going right handed and 4 wins at 2m4f/2m5f.
On top of all that, he has the benefit of being trained by Nicky Henderson, who has certainly started the new year in fine style, with 11 winners from 27 (40.7%), whilst here at Kempton he is 129/437 (29.5% SR) for 167.8pts (+38.4% ROI) since 2008.
That's consistent long-term profit year on year and in respect of today's race, those 437 runners are...
- males : 116/388 (29.9%) for 138.6pts (+35.7%)
- during the December to April months : 102/343 (29.7%) for 188.2pts (+54.9%)
- ridden by Barry Geraghty : 70/202 (34.7%) for 53.5pts (+26.5%)
- in handicaps : 30/158 (19%) for 128.3pts (+81.2%)
- in chases : 44/131 (33.6%) for 39.1pts (+29.9%)
- on good to soft : 35/112 (31.3%) for 50.2pts (+44.9%)
- and at Class 3 : 26/95 (27.4%) for 96.2pts (+101.3%)
AND...Barry Geraghty riding a male runner in the December - April period = 29/80 (36.25% SR) for 44.7pts (+55.9% ROI)
...hence...a 1pt win bet on Ericht @ 7/2 BOG which was offered by Bet365 and at least 9 others at 7.30pm on Friday, so we should all be able to get on! To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...
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REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS