Stat of the Day, 13th January 2017

Thursday's Result :

3.10 Leicester : Midnight Jade @ 5/2 BOG WON at 4/1 Tracked leaders, led before 4 out, held on run-in, all out to win by 1.25 lengths

Thursday's pick goes in the...

2.30 Lingfield

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Speed Freak @ 7/2 BOG

Why?

Trainer Ralph Beckett has his string in fine order at the moment, despite not sending too many out to track! 4 winners and 5 placers from 12 over the last 4 weeks represents quality over quantity and of those dozen that have braved the elements, there has been two winners and a runner-up from four sent here to Lingfield.

More longer-term, Ralph's record here on the all-weather track at Lingfield is also excellent, as you'd expect, with 48 winners from 218 (22% SR) since 2010, generating level stakes profits of 106.8pts at an ROI of 48.9%. With today's race in mind, here are a handful of profitable angles we could follow from those 218 runners...

  • those who last ran 6-60 days ago are 35/145 (24.1%) for 114.1pts (+78.7%)
  • in non-handicap races : 24/134 (17.9%) for 64.6pts (+48.2%)
  • at Class 5 : 25/128 (19.5%) for 84.3pts (+65.9%)
  • in maidens : 19/106 (17.9%) for 68pts (+64.2%)
  • and females are 19/99 (19.2%) for 127.6pts (+128.9%)

AND...females returning from a break of 6 to 60 days to run in a Lingfield Class 5 A/W maiden are 4/19 (21.1% SR) for 73.2pts (+385% ROI)

In addition to the above there are another couple of positives regarding this selection...

  1. Last year's Champion Apprentice Josephine Gordon will be in the saddle and not only is she very talented, but she's also in great form, having won 5 of 23 (21.7% SR) over the last week.
  2. This 3 yr old filly is by Fastnet Rock, whose offspring are 48/252 (19.1% SR) for 153.3pts (+60.8% ROI) on the A?W since the start of 2016, with Class 5 runners winning 21 of 96 (21.9%) for 106.5pts (+110.9%).

...giving us...a 1pt win bet on Speed Freak @ 7/2 BOG which was offered by Bet365, Betbright, BetVictor & SkyBet at 6.05pm on Thursday, so we should all be able to get on! To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 2.30 Lingfield

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

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