Stat of the Day, 13th January 2013

Stat of the Day: 13/01/13

Stat of the Day: 13/01/13

Stat of the Day, 13th January 2013

I don't seem to be getting much joy at present. George Nympton (like many of my recent picks) seemed to be travelling really well to a point. He was well placed tracking the leaders before a bad mistake on landing after the seventh fence. In all honesty, you have to take your hat off to Noel Fehily for managing to even stay on board, never mind getting the horse home. The race was gone in an instant and although Noel managed to get his mount travelling again, he was never going to even get close.

We're going to make the short journey back to Dunstall Park today for another of those Class 6 Handicaps over a mile and a half (plus 50yds!), as twelve are set to contest the ...

4.00 Wolverhampton

I gave some serious consideration to backing Royal Holiday at 7/1 in the 2.00 race, because the horse is in good form and the jockey Daniel Tudhope is 4/8 at Wolverhampton this season, but I've decided to go with a multiple course and distance winner who is also going really well at present.

It's another of those old warriors for SotD today, in the form of Kames Park, an eleven year old seemingly enjoying a new lease of life, despite having well over 100 races under his belt.

Kames Park beat both Daring Damsel and Layla's Boy (who re-oppose today) over course and distance nine days ago and he was a narrow second at long odds in a much better race here on Friday, also over course and distance. That race was a Class 3 contest and he drops back to Class 6 today, after going down by just a neck at 25/1, yet was still finishing strongly, despite running from 6lbs out of the handicap on that occasion. He turns out again today on his proper mark, which is just 4lbs higher than his previous victory over C & D, which incidentally was his 5th win at Wolverhampton (4 over today's trip)

Jimmy Quinn takes the ride again on Kames Park today, as he has done on those last two outings and this will be the thirteenth time they've been partnered together, having achieved 4 wins and 4 further places from the previous 12 outings. Backing this partnership has been profitable to the tune of some 35pts to date with the 58.3% place strike rate being of benefit to E/W backers who have made just shy of 50pts from those 12 races.

Any repeat of his form from the last couple of outings should be enough to take this one and I fully expect another bold run from him. There's possibly enough in the price for a safety-first E/W bet, but fortune favours the brave, so they say and I think we'll be rewarded for our faith by taking a 1pt win bet on Kames Park at 6/1 BOG with Bet365. You can, of course, always check the odds on offer elsewhere by taking the opportunity to...

Click here for the latest betting on theĀ 4.00 Wolverhampton

8 thoughts on “Stat of the Day, 13th January 2013

  1. Johnny5

    Great run by the old boy Kames Park !!

    SO pleased for you Chris after yesterday’s usual goldiggers negativity

    6/1 into 11/4 (will be a R4) but a great gamble and great run

    Well done for unearthing the stat !

    Best wishes John

    1. Chris Worrall Post author

      Thanks for your continued and unwavering support Johnny.
      A great run today (we were due one! :D) and even the rule 4 only brought it down to 5.4/1, so once again we smashed the market price of 11/4

  2. Stuart

    Cheers Chris – I was on at 6/1. Nice.

    Shame the double didn’t come in (I put a quarter of a point on Royal Holiday at 10/1 and another quarter on the double E/W – and he struggled in 4th, annoyingly) but, hey, that was my decision and a handsome profit is a handsome profit.

    This is a truly great site – thanks chaps.

  3. Johnny5

    Stuart

    Brilliant observation mate… It Is OUR decision whether we follow Matt and Chris’s hard work with putting down the cash

    They show us a way on a race and it is solely OUR decision if we follow or not

    Wayne after your post on Friday I hope you stuck with it and were rewarded with a 5.5 point winner

    Tipping and betting isn’t all about 100% winners – that’s impossible …..It’s about long term profit and intelligent comment and stats that help make a decision bring home the NUMBERS

    I don’t always back the Sotd ( my choice) but win lose or draw I am a better punter for reading the wisdom on the Sotd AND the overall Geegeez site

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