Monday's Result :
7.10 Wolverhampton : Rich Again @ 4/1 BOG WON at 7/2 (Held up towards rear, headway over 1f out, kept on to lead towards finish to win by a neck)
Tuesday's pick goes in the...
Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.
Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Samtu at 4/1 BOG
This 5 yr old gelding has looked much improved for a switch to the Skelton yard, finishing 1225182 in seven efforts over hurdles and was possibly unlucky to run into a progressive Nicky Henderson improver last time out. That was here at Worcester over course and distance, when he was a gallant 12/1 runner-up to eventually well backed 6/4 fav Barman (who we had backed ourselves as that day's SotD!).
There's nothing of Barman's quality here today and I expect another bold effort from the front on a track that rewards front runners.
Trained by Dan Skelton, as I mentioned earlier and it's worth noting than Dan's Class 1 to 4 handicap hurdlers are 38 from 205 (18.5% SR) for 38.pts (+18.7% ROI) when sent off at odds of 2/1 to 12/1, from which...
- those ridden by Harry Skelton are 30/145 (20.7%) for 59.8pts (+41.2%)
- his 5/6 yr olds are 23/94 (24.5%) for 60pts (+63.9%)
- Class 4 runners are 17/73 (23.3%) for 16.4pts (+22.4%)
- and those racing over trips of 2m to 2m1f are 13/63 (20.6%) for 23.6pts (+37.5%)
AND...from the above, I can also tell you that when Harry rides Dan's 5/6 yr olds at Class 4, they've won 12 of 34 (35.3%) for 37.1pts (+109.1%), with those racing over 2m4f or shorter winning 8 of 20 (40%) for 26.1pts (+130.5%)
But wait, there's another little bit more! Dan Skelton's runners turned out within 4 to 15 days of a top 4 finish LTO are 41/113 (36.36%) for 35.5pts (+31.4%) with Harry riding 27 winners from 76 (35.5%) for 29.1pts (+38.3%).
...so the call is a 1pt win bet on Samtu at 4/1 BOG with Betfair's Sportsbook, who were the first to show at 5.15pm, but to see what your preferred bookie is offering later...
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REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS