Stat of the Day, 12th April 2017.

Tuesday's Result

15:40 Pontefract: Medicine Hat @ 11/4 BOG 3rd at 7/4 Led 2f, tracked leader, settled 3rd 12f out, 2nd again 6f out, led over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, headed and unable to quicken inside final furlong, no extra and lost 2nd well inside final furlong

Wednesday's pick goes in the...

16:20 Nottingham

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Fantasy Gladiator @ 5/1

Why?

Fantasy Gladiator has been running on the all weather tracks over the winter, and has slipped to a very attractive mark, having not won since September 2015. However, that was also the last time he had his favoured conditions, and I am very hopeful of a big run here today. He has a nice draw on the inside, and as long as he breaks reasonably well, the race will be set up for him

The following stats are applicable.

  • trainer Mick Appleby has excellent course form and for the last year he is 6/45 (13.33%) for 36.38pts
  • over the past five years he is 30/190 (15.79%) for 63.01pts
  • jockey Silvestre De Sousa for the last 30 days is 17/71 (23.94%) for 1.35pts
  • here at Nottingham, Fantasy Gladiator is 2/5 (40%) for 2.5pts
  • and on today's going he is 2/6 (33.33%) for 11pts

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Fantasy Gladiator @ 5/1 which was available from Skybet at 19:20 on Tuesday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 16:20 Nottingham

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats are to Betfair SP, as (i) I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you and (ii) although inferior to the BOG odds we secure, BFSP is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns quoted.

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