Stat of the Day, 11th October 2017

Tuesday's Result :

4.10 Catterick : The New Pharaoh @ 11/4 BOG 3rd at 4/1 : Switched left start, held up in rear, ridden and headway over 1f out, stayed on inside final furlong, nearest at finish ...

Wednesday's selection goes in the...

3.10 Towcester :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Sailors Warn @ 3/1 or 11/4 BOG

Why?

A Class 3, 3yo+ handicap hurdle over 1m7.5f on good to firm ground...

This 10 yr old gelding was a winner two starts ago, but was beaten by 4.5 lengths last time out on unsuitably soft ground at a higher grade than today. he's well rested and down in class, so should go well for trainer Ian Williams...

...whose NH handicappers are 53/248 (21.4% SR) for 73pts (+29.4% ROI) since the start of last year, including...

  • males @ 46/214 (21.5%) for 77.2pts (+36.1%)
  • hurdlers are 35/165 (21.2%) for 51.9pts (+31.5%)
  • at trips of 2m 0.5f and shorter : 16/76 (21.1%) for 20.7pts (+27.2%)
  • at Class 3 : 18/61 (29.5%) for 41.7pts (+68.4%)
  • and 9/10 yr olds are 10/43 (23.3%) for 29.4pts (+68.5%)

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Sailors Warn @ 3/1 or 11/4 BOG, which was offered by Bet365  & Sunbets respectively at 5.45pm on Tuesday. I'll be settling up at the lower of the two, of course and to see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 3.10 Towcester

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

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