Stat of the Day, 11th October 2016

Monday's Result :

6.55 Chelmsford : Brick Lane @ 4/1 BOG 5th at 3/1 (Led, ridden and headed over 1f out, no extra inside final furlong, beten by less than 2 lengths)

Tuesday's pick goes in the...

9.15 Wolverhampton :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Mrs Burbidge at 3/1 BOG

Why?

It's A/W action, a 1m4f, Class 7 handicap, Liam Keniry rides for Neil Mulholland, sounds almost like perfect conditions for our 6 year old today, who incidentally is a former course and distance winner under today's jockey.

But our first port of call is trainer Neil Mulholland for his record over the last few years on the A/W will be the basecamp to launch our stat attack from....

Neil Mulholland / All-Weather / 2013-16 / ALL runners backed blindly = 36/156 (23.1% SR) for 93.8pts (+60.1% ROI) = phenomenal!

And now, as usual, we'll break those 156 runners down to see how they fit into today's race conditions...

  • 3-7 yr olds are 34/136 (25%) for 105.8pts (+77.8%)
  • over 8.5f to 16.5f : 33/122 (27.1%) for 111.4pts (+91.3%)
  • handicaps : 29/115 (25.2%) for 102.1pts (+88.8%)
  • ridden by Liam Keniry : 28/105 (26.7%) for 106.3pts (+101.3%)
  • hcps/Keniry : 23/81 (28.4%) for 115.7pts (+142.8%)
  • here at Wolverhampton : 10/45 (22.2%) for 54pts (+120%)
  • Keniry/Wolverhampton : 8/31 (25.8%) for 57.7pts (+186.3%)
  • Keniry /hcp/Wolves : 6/24 (25%) for 58.4pts (+243.5%)
  • And at Class 7 : 3/10 (30%) for 13.95pts (+139.5%)

All of which looks ideal for our bet today, but I know some of you like me to compound the findings, so here goes!

Neil Mulholland / 3-7 yr olds / 8.5f to 16.5f / AW hcps / Liam Keniry = 21/62 (33.9% SR) for 128.4pts (+207% ROI), of which...

  • Wolverhampton : 6/19 (31.6%) for 63.43pts (+333.8%)
  • Class 7 2/6 (33.3%) for 14.72pts (+245.3%)
  • and Wolverhampton Class 7 = 2/4 (50%) for 16.72pts at an impressive return of 418%!

...giving...a 1pt win bet on Mrs Burbidge at 3/1 BOG, from either BetVictor, Betfred, Ladbrokes or Totesport, who led the way at 11.40pm on Monday, but to see your preferred bookies' odds, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 9.15 Wolverhampton.

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard...

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