Stat of the Day, 11th November 2012
Well, no respite for either SotD's cold spell or my current bout of manflu from yesterday's selection. Dorcas Lane was well backed from our 9/1 price into 5/1 at the off, but that's as good as it got. She never got involved in the race and duly trooped home in 9th position with just 3 others behind her. Disappointing was the word I diplomatically selected on seeing a re-run after I got home from seeing my football team fail abjectly in the art of defending yet again!
We're due a winner for sure and to that end, we're off to Wales for a Class 3 Beginners Chase over 2 miles and 3.5 furlongs on ground expected to be Soft, but better in places. The race in question is a reasonably competitive-looking 13 runner event, the...
From an admittedly fairly small sample size, Anthony Honeyball is our go-to man at Ffos Las. This friend of Geegeez has had excellent results at the Welsh track since sending his first runner there back in December 2010. Anthony has sent just 11 horses to the track in total, but the return of 5 winners and one runner-up explains why we look for his reappearance here.
This 45% strike rate has brought in a very healthy level stakes profit of some 18 pts (164%) and if we narrow his runners down even further to chasers alone (as per today's race), the record is quite simply four winners from four for 21pts profit: outstanding stuff.
A quick look at the declarations for today shows that Mr Honeyball has just the one chaser out today in the shape of four-year-old filly Jackies Solitaire, who had some decent efforts last season over hurdles around this time of year and looks to have a decent chance at bottom weight, helped even further by the jockey's 3lb claim.
As is often the case, that jockey is the very promising and talented Miss Rachael Green who has been on board for 2 winners and a place in seven attempt for Anthony Honeyball at this track. She has only ridden one chaser here for the trainer, steering Victors Serenade to a comfortable 11-length victory back in March.
Having checked the markets at 8.30am, 4/1 BOG was available with bet365, so the play for me is a straightforward 1pt win bet on Jackies Solitaire at 4/1 BOG, but you can always...
PS Although Anthony Honeyball's chasers have performed better than his hurdlers here at Ffos Las, it would be folly to completely dismiss the chances of him saddling a winner in the 3.05 , where Velator holds claims at odds of 7/2 or better.