Stat of the Day, 10th February 2013

Stat of the Day: 10/02/13

Stat of the Day: 10/02/13

Stat of the Day, 10th February 2013

With just two fences to jump, Anay Turge looked to have every chance yesterday, but soon faded very quickly and that unfortunately means another zero in the column for SotD.

Today we're returning to the Nottinghamshire Fibresand for their last race on the card. This is a Class 5 Handicap over seven furlongs for the seven runners in the...

4.50 Southwell

It's a course specialist for SotD today, or more precisely a course & distance specialist.

Flying Pickets has had a reasonable  career to date, this 4yr old has already won five A/W races from twenty-four attempts: a decent enough 20.8% strike rate producing a very healthy 16.33pts profit (68% POI), but all five of those wins have come from fifteen runs here at Southwell, giving a course strike rate of 33.33%.

A horse with a 1 in 3 strike rate at any course is more than good enough for consideration for SotD, but on digging sown further, I was very impressed to see that all five wins have been at today's 7f trip where his overall C&D record reads 21112141: a 62.5% win record for 25.33pts profit (+317%)

Flying Pickets really does save his best form for this trip at Southwell and is running well again at present. He finished second last Wednesday over a mile, going down by just a length by a horse that outstayed him, so the drop back to his favoured trip will definitely be of benefit.

And despite this looking like one of the shortest ever SotD blogs, there's not really much more for me to add. He loves the track, he loves the distance and he's in good nick. All I need him to do now, is win! 😀

This race is, however, admittedly tougher than his previous victories and this is reflected in the prices available. 6.60 was available with betfair early this morning, but the best BOG price available was 5/1, so the "official" SotD line is 1pt on Flying Pickets at 5/1 BOG, but I always advise you to...

Click here for the latest betting on the 4.50 Southwell

 

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10 thoughts on “Stat of the Day, 10th February 2013

  1. Ian

    Johnny I went to Southwell the other day and can conform that the surface is deeper than usual all over the track but it is consistent and fair to all. It is described as standard to slow and locals actually think a period of heavy rain and/or frost will help it bed down sooner than just continually rolling it.

    My own view is that in the next few weeks the prerequisites are Course Form and evidence that a horse has won over further than the distance it is running in – the term “back down in trip” may be no bad thing.

  2. Bob Smith (@RobertS00994664)

    Hi Chris – got 9/2 with P.P. though it was 1/4 the odds so nearly got my money back on e.w. bet. Back on the (nearly) winning trail after a couple of “bombs”.
    Thanks

  3. Chris

    HI Matt / Chris , Having a lot of trouble finding the updated site each day, my browser always sends me to the last time I viewed. This has started since you began introducing cards, any advice on how to get round this.

      1. Chris

        I realise there’s more than one Chris on here, but why have you named me Very strange Chris. I may have my quirks like the next man or next Chris but I do feel its a little unfair. How would you like it if I called you Idiosyncratic Matt. 🙂

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